????, 2024 ???????? 02 - 2022 ?????? ?? ????? ????? ????????? ????? ?????? ????????? ???? 2024 ???????? ????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ???? ????? ????????? 2.2% ? ???????? ?????? ???????? ???????? ??? ??? ??? ?????? ???????? ?? ??. ?????, ?? ??? ????? ??? ????????? ??????, ?????? ??????????? ?? ????? ??????? ????? ????? ?? ??? ??????? ???? ????-??????? ??????? ????? ????? ????.
?? ??? ?????? ??? ?? ??? ?? ??????? ????? ???????? ????? ????? ?????? ??????? ??? ??????? ??? ????, ?? ?????? ????????????? ??????????? ????? ???? ??? ??????? ??? ????, ???? ?? ????? ?????????? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ??????????? ????? ?????? ??????? ????? ??? ???? ???? ???? ??? ????? ?????? ???? ?????? ??????????? ???????? ??? ???? ?.
???? ???? ????????? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ????? (4) ???? ?? ??? ????? ??????????? 25.9% ?? 2023 ???????? ????????? ?????? ?????? ????? ???. ????? ?????? ??????????? ???????? ???????? ??? ??? ????????? ???? ?????????? ?? ?????? ????????? ?????????? ??? ????? ???? ????????? ??? ?? ?????? ????????? ????? ??? ????? ???? ?????????? ?????? ????? ??????. ??????? ??? ???, ?????? ????? ?????? ?? ??? ?????? ???? ?????? ?????? ???? ????? ???????????? ????? ??????? ??? ?? ????. ?? ????? ???? ?????? ???? ???????? ?????????? ????? ??????? ?? ???????? ?????? ????????? ??? ????? ???????? ???? ?? ??.
"?????? ?????? ??????? ????? ??? ???????? ????? ?????, ?? ??? ?????????? ????? ???????? ?? ?????????? ??????????? ??????????????? ????? ????? ??????? ?? ??????? ?? ??????? ??? ?? ??? ????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ????? ???????? ???? ??? ?? ?????? ????????? ? ??? ???????", ??????? ??? ??????? ?????????, ?????? ?? ?????? ????? ?? ????? ???? ????????, ?????? ????? ??????? ???? ?????. ¡°???? ???? ?????? ????? ?????? ??: ?????, ????? ?????? ??????????? ???? ?? ????????????? ?????? ????? ?? ??????, ?????? ??????? ?? ??????????? ??? ????? ???? ?????????? ?? ???????? ????? ?? ????????? ??? ?? ????? ????? ???? ?????? ????????????? ?????? ?????." ???? ?? ???? ???????? ??????.
??? ?????, ??? ??????? ????? 2025 ???????? 2.5% ? ?????? ???????? ????? ??? ???????? ?? ??. ??? ?? ????? ?? ??? ??????? ???????? ??? ??? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ???? ??????????? ????? ??? ?? ??????? ?? ????? ????.
???? ???? ?? ?????? ?????? ????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ??? ???? ????? ??????? ????. 2026 ????? ????? ????????? ????? 22% ?? ?????? ????? ??????? ????. ?????? ?????? ?????? ????? ????? ??? ?????????? ???? ?? ?????????????? ??????, ????????????? ??????? ?? ??????? ???? ???? ??????, ?????? ?????????? ??? ??????? ????? ?? ?????? ???????? ????????? ?????? ?? ????? ?? ??????? ????? ????? ????. ????? ?????-?????? ??????????, ???? ???????? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ???????? ?? ??????? ??????? ?????????? ????? ?????? ??????? ??? ????????? ??? ????? ???? ???????? ????????????? ??????????? ????? ????? ??????????? ?? ??????? ????? ???????? ??????? ?? ??.
??? ??? ?? ????? ?????? ??? ?????? ?????? ?????? ??? ???????? ????? ?????????. ?? ??????? ????? ??? ?????? ?????? ????? ????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ?? ????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ???? ??? ??? ?? ????? ????? ??? ??????????? ?????? ??????? ? ????????? ????. 2024 ???????? ????? ????? ??????? ?? ????? ????? ?????? ??? ????????? ???????? ?? ??????? ???. 2024 ?? ??? ????? ??????? ?????? 6% ?? ??? ????? ??????? ????. ?? ???? ?????? ???? ????? ????????? ???????? ?????? ????????, ?????????? ?? ????? ????? ???? ???? ???????? ????? ??? ???? ??? ????????. ????? ??? ????? ???? ??? ???????? ?? ???????? ???????? ????? ??. ???? ???? ?????? ?????? ????? ??????-19 ????? ???? ???????? ??? ?????? ?????? ??? ??? ?????? ????. ???? ????? ??????? ???????? ????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ???? ??.
???? ????? ???????? ???? ?????? ??? ???? ?????????? ?????????? ????? ?????? ????????????? ???? ????? ???. ?????? ???????? ???? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ?? ????????? ????????? ????? ??? ??????? ????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ?? ??. ???? ?????? ????? ???? ????????? ?????? ???????? ??? ???????? ????? ??.
Source: ÐÓ°ÉÂÛ̳, Poverty & Equity and Macroeconomics, Trade & Investment Global Practices. Emissions data sourced from CAIT and OECD.
Notes: e = estimate, f = forecast.
(a) Components of GDP by expenditure for 2020-2022 are estimates, as the data published on March 15, 2024, by authorities only included GDP by production.
(b) Calculations based on SAR-POV harmonization, using 2019-HIES. Actual data: 2019. Microsimulation that models sectoral GDP growth rates, inflation, remittances, employment, and cash transfers 2020-2022. Nowcast and forecast (2023-2026) use nominal GDP growth rates by sector and CPI inflation.
